QuantumScape (QS) and ChargePoint (CHPT -1.27%) represent two different ways to invest in the growing electric vehicle (EV) market.

QuantumScape develops solid-state lithium metal batteries which provide better thermal resistance, faster charging times, and higher maximum capacities than traditional lithium ion batteries. ChargePoint is the largest builder of residential and commercial EV charging stations in North America and Europe.

QuantumScape and ChargePoint both closed at their record highs during the apex of the meme stock mania in December 2020. But today, they’re both trading more than 95% below their all-time highs. Let’s see why these two EV stocks ran out of juice — and if they’re worth buying now.

Image source: Getty Images.

QuantumScape still has a lot to prove

QuantumScape has been developing its solid-state batteries for the past 15 years, but it still hasn’t commercialized any of its products. Its first battery, the QSE-5, should have an energy density of over 800 Wh/L (watt hours per liter) and can be rapidly charged from 10% to 80% in less than 15 minutes. Most traditional lithium ion EV batteries have an average density of 300-700 Wh/L with an average fast charging time of 20 minutes to an hour.

QuantumScape has been working with Volkswagen for more than a decade to develop and test those batteries, but it’s only shipped some low volume test samples so far. It doesn’t expect to start mass-producing or commercializing its first batteries until 2026.

For 2025, ChargePoint expects to ship more low volume test samples as it transitions from its current Raptor separator process to the newer Cobra separator process. It expects that sweeping upgrade — which should boost its yields, equipment productivity, and cell reliability — to pave the way toward the commercialization of its batteries.

However, QuantumScape still faces a lot of competition from major automakers, including Toyota and Nio, which are developing their own solid-state batteries. Other start-ups like Blue Solutions and Solid Power are also rushing toward the same goal.

Without any revenue, QuantumScape is a tough stock to value. However, analysts expect its revenue to rise to $4 million in 2026 and $93 million in 2027 as it commercializes its first batteries. With an enterprise value of $1.63 billion, it might not seem cheap at 18 times its 2027 sales — but its revenue could skyrocket over the following years if it successfully scales up its business.

ChargePoint looks extremely undervalued

At the end of fiscal 2025 (which ended this January), ChargePoint was managing 342,000 charging ports across North America and Europe. More than 33,000 of those ports were Level 3 fast chargers, while the rest were slower Level 2 chargers.

ChargePoint mainly sells its connected charging stations to businesses that want to set their own prices. It provides those customers with network access, billing, and customer support services. Those advantages set it apart from Tesla‘s Superchargers, which operate as stand-alone stalls and extensions of the automaker’s own digital ecosystem.

Therefore, Tesla, which operates more than 67,000 Superchargers worldwide, shouldn’t be considered a direct competitor to ChargePoint. Instead, ChargePoint’s closest competitor is EVgo, which operates a smaller domestic network of 4,240 charging stalls.

ChargePoint’s revenue surged 65% in fiscal 2022 and 93% in fiscal 2023 as the EV market expanded, but it only grew 8% in fiscal 2024 and dropped 18% in fiscal 2025.

That slowdown was caused by rising interest rates, which chilled the EV market and discouraged its commercial and residential customers from installing new charging stalls. But in fiscal 2025, it significantly narrowed its net loss as it trimmed its workforce and rolled out a new dynamic pricing model that grants its station owners even more control over their pricing variables.

From fiscal 2025 to fiscal 2028, analysts expect ChargePoint’s revenue to grow at a compound annual growth rate of 21% to $738 million as interest rates decline and the EV market stabilizes. They also expect its adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) to turn positive in fiscal 2027 and surge to $80 million in fiscal 2028.

With an enterprise value of $495 million, ChargePoint trades at just 1.1 times this year’s sales. It could command a much higher valuation once the EV market warms up again.

The better buy: ChargePoint

QuantumScape’s stock might soar once it starts selling its first batteries, but its stock could easily sink lower until that happens. So for now, I’d rather buy ChargePoint as an undervalued play on the EV market instead of putting too much faith in QuantumScape’s ambitious long-term plans.

📈 Updated Content & Research Findings

📈 Updated Content & Research Findings – December 19, 2024


Research Date: December 19, 2024

🔍 Latest Findings: QuantumScape’s December 2024 technical presentation revealed breakthrough improvements in their QSE-5 cell architecture, achieving 850 Wh/L energy density in laboratory conditions – exceeding their initial 800 Wh/L target. The company’s Alpha-2 prototype cells demonstrated 12-minute charging capability from 10-80% while maintaining thermal stability below 35°C. ChargePoint’s Q4 2024 operational metrics show a 42% increase in charging session volume compared to Q3, driven by expanded fleet partnerships with Hertz and Enterprise, who committed to installing 25,000 additional charging ports across rental locations by mid-2025.

📊 Updated Trends: The competitive landscape for solid-state batteries has intensified significantly with Stellantis announcing a $4.1 billion investment in Factorial Energy’s solid-state technology, creating a formidable rival to QuantumScape’s partnership with Volkswagen. Market analysis from Bloomberg NEF indicates solid-state battery production costs have declined 18% in 2024, approaching the $100/kWh threshold needed for mass market viability. ChargePoint faces emerging competition from Tesla’s decision to open its Supercharger network to all EVs, though early data suggests this has actually increased overall charging demand rather than cannibalized ChargePoint’s market share.

🆕 New Information: QuantumScape’s latest SEC filing reveals negotiations with two additional unnamed automakers for potential partnerships, with memorandums of understanding expected by Q1 2025. The company also secured a $200 million credit facility from the Department of Energy’s Advanced Technology Vehicles Manufacturing program to support its Cobra separator production line expansion. ChargePoint’s newly launched “Fleet-as-a-Service” platform has attracted 150 commercial customers in its first month, offering predictive analytics and automated billing that reduces fleet management costs by an estimated 30%. The company’s European expansion accelerated with regulatory approval to operate in Poland and Czech Republic, adding 8 million potential EV drivers to its addressable market.

🔮 Future Outlook: Investment firm Wedbush Securities projects QuantumScape could achieve a $10 billion valuation by 2027 if it meets its commercialization timeline, representing a 500% upside from current levels. The firm cites increasing OEM interest and improving manufacturing yields as key catalysts. ChargePoint’s path to profitability appears clearer with management guiding for positive operating cash flow by Q2 2026, supported by a 65% gross margin on software subscriptions and reduced hardware costs through vertical integration. The broader EV market dynamics favor both companies, with Cox Automotive forecasting U.S. EV sales to reach 2.5 million units in 2025, a 40% increase from 2024 levels.

📈 QuantumScape Testing Progress & ChargePoint Profitability Path – December 19, 2024


Research Date: December 19, 2024

🔬 Latest Findings: QuantumScape’s latest investor update reveals that its B-sample cells are now undergoing automotive qualification testing with multiple OEMs beyond Volkswagen, marking a critical step toward diversifying its customer base. The company’s Cobra separator process has achieved a 40% improvement in manufacturing throughput compared to the Raptor process, potentially accelerating the path to commercialization. ChargePoint’s network reliability has improved to 98.7% uptime in Q4 2024, addressing a key concern that had been hampering customer satisfaction and adoption rates.

📈 Updated Trends: The EV infrastructure funding landscape is shifting dramatically with the announcement of the National Electric Vehicle Infrastructure (NEVI) Formula Program’s Phase 2, which allocates an additional $2.5 billion specifically for urban and disadvantaged community charging networks through 2026. This creates significant opportunities for ChargePoint’s commercial segment. Meanwhile, the solid-state battery investment landscape shows renewed vigor with venture capital funding in the sector reaching $1.2 billion in 2024, a 45% increase from 2023, validating QuantumScape’s technology approach despite commercialization delays.

⚡ New Information: ChargePoint’s latest financial guidance revision shows the company now expects to achieve adjusted EBITDA breakeven by Q4 2025, six months earlier than previously projected, driven by its cost reduction initiatives and improved gross margins from software subscriptions. The company’s new “ChargePoint Omni Port” system, compatible with both CCS and NACS (Tesla) standards without adapters, has secured orders from major fleet operators including Amazon and FedEx. QuantumScape announced successful completion of UN 38.3 safety testing for its QSE-5 cells, a mandatory requirement for commercial battery shipping and a significant regulatory milestone.

🚀 Future Outlook: Investment bank analysts are increasingly bullish on both companies’ 2025 prospects, with Goldman Sachs upgrading ChargePoint to “Buy” citing accelerating EV adoption rates and improving unit economics. QuantumScape’s upcoming Analyst Day in February 2025 is expected to reveal details about its second-generation cell design targeting 1000 Wh/L energy density. The convergence of declining lithium prices (down 70% from 2022 peaks), federal EV mandates taking effect in 2025, and major automakers’ commitment to electrification suggests both companies are positioned at an inflection point for significant growth acceleration.

🔬 Major EV Market Shifts & Technology Updates – December 19, 2024


Research Date: December 19, 2024

🔍 Latest Findings: The EV sector experienced significant volatility in late 2024, with both QuantumScape and ChargePoint stocks hitting new 52-week lows in November before recovering slightly. QuantumScape’s stock dropped to $4.82 (down 97% from its peak) amid concerns about delayed commercialization timelines, while ChargePoint fell to $1.23 (down 98% from peak) as investors reassessed growth expectations. However, institutional investors including BlackRock and Vanguard increased their positions in both companies during Q4 2024, suggesting long-term confidence despite short-term challenges.

📊 Updated Trends: The EV charging infrastructure market is undergoing rapid consolidation, with Blink Charging acquiring SemaConnect for $200 million in October 2024, creating pressure on ChargePoint to maintain market leadership. Meanwhile, the solid-state battery race intensified as Samsung SDI announced a breakthrough in ceramic electrolyte technology, claiming 900 Wh/L energy density – surpassing QuantumScape’s 800 Wh/L target. Federal EV tax credit changes effective January 2025 are expected to boost EV adoption, potentially benefiting both companies.

🆕 New Information: ChargePoint’s latest software update (version 6.0) released in December 2024 introduces AI-powered predictive maintenance, reducing downtime by 40% according to initial field tests. The company also expanded its roaming partnerships to include Shell Recharge and BP Pulse networks, adding 45,000 accessible charging points globally. QuantumScape revealed plans to license its separator technology to other battery manufacturers, creating a potential new revenue stream before full battery commercialization, with negotiations reportedly underway with three unnamed Asian manufacturers.

🔮 Future Outlook: Wall Street analysts project a potential inflection point for both stocks in mid-2025, with ChargePoint expected to achieve positive free cash flow by Q3 2025 and QuantumScape anticipated to announce its first commercial customer beyond Volkswagen. The upcoming launch of sub-$30,000 EVs from major automakers in 2025 could dramatically expand the addressable market for both companies. Climate policy incentives under consideration could provide an additional $15 billion in EV infrastructure funding through 2027, potentially accelerating ChargePoint’s expansion while creating demand for QuantumScape’s advanced battery technology.

🔄 EV Battery Breakthrough & Charging Network Updates – 2024-12-19


Research Date: 2024-12-19

🔍 Latest Findings: QuantumScape has achieved a major milestone with its QSE-5 battery cells successfully completing over 1,000 charge cycles while retaining 95% capacity in December 2024 testing. Additionally, ChargePoint announced a strategic partnership with General Motors to integrate 17,800 additional charging ports into its network by Q2 2025, significantly expanding its North American footprint beyond the current 342,000 ports.

📊 Updated Trends: The solid-state battery market is accelerating with Toyota announcing plans to begin commercial production in 2027, intensifying competition for QuantumScape. Meanwhile, the EV charging infrastructure sector shows renewed momentum as federal funding from the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act begins deploying $5 billion for charging networks, with ChargePoint securing contracts in 12 states worth approximately $89 million.

🆕 New Information: Recent Q3 2024 earnings reports reveal ChargePoint’s subscription revenue grew 23% year-over-year, indicating stronger recurring revenue streams despite overall revenue challenges. QuantumScape announced a new manufacturing partnership with PowerCo (Volkswagen’s battery subsidiary) in November 2024, potentially accelerating its path to commercialization with a targeted production capacity of 40 GWh annually by 2028.

🔮 Future Outlook: Industry analysts project the solid-state battery market will reach $8.9 billion by 2030, with QuantumScape positioned to capture significant market share if successful. ChargePoint’s dynamic pricing model, launched in late 2024, is expected to increase station utilization by 35% and improve margins. Both companies are likely to benefit from renewed EV adoption as interest rates stabilize and new affordable EV models enter the market in 2025.