Housing Affordability – Live Laugh Love Do http://livelaughlovedo.com A Super Fun Site Sat, 30 Aug 2025 14:49:25 +0000 en-US hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=6.9 Homebuilder inventory hits 2009 levels—creating deals in these housing markets http://livelaughlovedo.com/homebuilder-inventory-hits-2009-levels-creating-deals-in-these-housing-markets/ http://livelaughlovedo.com/homebuilder-inventory-hits-2009-levels-creating-deals-in-these-housing-markets/#respond Sat, 30 Aug 2025 14:49:25 +0000 http://livelaughlovedo.com/2025/08/30/homebuilder-inventory-hits-2009-levels-creating-deals-in-these-housing-markets/ [ad_1]

Want more housing market stories from Lance Lambert’s ResiClub in your inbox? Subscribe to the ResiClub newsletter.

Several of America’s largest homebuilders are sounding a cautious note on the 2025 housing market, reporting softer-than-expected buyer demand. The pullback has been especially noticeable across key Sun Belt metros, where affordability pressures are biting.

This softer housing demand environment is causing unsold inventory to tick up. Indeed, since the pandemic housing boom fizzled out, the number of unsold completed U.S. new single-family homes has been rising:

July 2016 —> 58,000

July 2017 —> 65,000

July 2018 —> 65,000

July 2019 —> 80,000

July 2020 —> 58,000

July 2021 —> 34,000

July 2022 —> 38,000

July 2023 —> 70,000

July 2024 —> 103,000

July 2025 —> 121,000

The July figure (121,000 unsold completed new homes) published last week is the highest level since July 2009 (126,000).

Let’s take a closer look at the data to better understand what this could mean.

To put the number of unsold completed new single-family homes into historic context, we have ResiClub’s Finished Homes Supply Index.

The index is one simple calculation: The number of unsold completed U.S. new single-family homes divided by the annualized rate of U.S. single-family housing starts. A higher index score indicates a softer national new construction market with greater supply slack, while a lower index score signifies a tighter new construction market with less supply slack.

If you look at unsold completed single-family new builds as a share of single-family housing starts (see chart below), it still shows we’ve gained slack (and have more now than pre-pandemic 2019); however, this slack, nationally speaking, isn’t anything close to the 2007-2008 weakening.

While the U.S. Census Bureau doesn’t give us a greater market-by-market breakdown on these unsold new builds, we have a good idea where they are, based on total active inventory homes for sale (including existing)—likely much of it is in the Mountain West and Sun Belt, particularly around the Gulf.

Indeed, some builders are experiencing pricing pressure, particularly in major markets like Florida and Texas, where resale inventory is well above pre-pandemic 2019 levels.

!function(){“use strict”;window.addEventListener(“message”,function(a){if(void 0!==a.data[“datawrapper-height”]){var e=document.querySelectorAll(“iframe”);for(var t in a.data[“datawrapper-height”])for(var r,i=0;r=e[i];i++)if(r.contentWindow===a.source){var d=a.data[“datawrapper-height”][t]+”px”;r.style.height=d}}})}();

[ad_2]

]]>
http://livelaughlovedo.com/homebuilder-inventory-hits-2009-levels-creating-deals-in-these-housing-markets/feed/ 0
Home buyers have more negotiation power than they’ve had in years http://livelaughlovedo.com/home-buyers-have-more-negotiation-power-than-theyve-had-in-years/ http://livelaughlovedo.com/home-buyers-have-more-negotiation-power-than-theyve-had-in-years/#respond Tue, 15 Jul 2025 17:09:01 +0000 http://livelaughlovedo.com/2025/07/15/home-buyers-have-more-negotiation-power-than-theyve-had-in-years/ [ad_1]

Home sellers have had the edge over buyers in the U.S. housing market for the past few years, as limited inventory pushed prices sky-high and there was fierce competition for available homes. But a few factors are converging to give buyers reason to be optimistic for the first time in a long time.

General economic uncertainty and housing affordability have been holding buyers back, says Kara Ng, senior economist at Zillow, leading to a lackluster home buying season. With inventory up 17% year-over-year, there are now more homes on the market than at any time since 2019, according to Zillow data. While prices are still significantly higher than they were even a few years ago, home appreciation has been flatlining and interest rates are down slightly compared to a year ago. Sellers across the country are cutting prices.

Even with the price cuts, homes that sell so typically do so in 17 days, according to Zillow. While that may sound fairly fast, that’s about four days longer than a year ago, signaling a general slowdown.

And while many sellers held onto homes longer than they may have liked due to the rock-bottom interest rates of the Covid days, now many are realizing those won’t be returning any time soon. People who need to move for their jobs, family, or other reasons are out of wiggle room, meaning they are looking to sell even if they can’t get the same deal on a new home they did on their current one.

“A lot of them don’t have that luxury of waiting until the rates fall again,” says Ng. “Basically, sellers are returning. Buyers are not.”

That puts buyers into a better position than they’ve been in for years, and gives them the upper hand in some markets, particularly in market in Florida and Texas, says Ng, where there is plenty of inventory. Sellers are starting to make concessions: buyers may be able to ask for further price cuts, help paying for closing costs, or a mortgage rate buydown.

“Sellers need to work harder now, there’s more competition because there are more listings and more listings are lingering,” she says.

To be sure, it’s not all good news for buyers, and Ng notes the market is more evenly-balanced than it has been in recent years, rather than tilted in favor of buyers altogether. Though price appreciation is leveling out, the median earner can afford the typical home in only 11 major markets across the country, down from 39 markets five years ago, according to Zillow. Homes are so expensive now, a buyer needs to earn nearly $100,000 a year to comfortably afford the median home price of $369,000, another Zillow analysis finds.

These numbers reflect median home prices and salaries across the U.S.—and will be higher or lower in specific markets. Cleveland and Pittsburgh, for instance, are more affordable while San Jose and San Francisco are considerably more expensive.

Zillow’s Ng adds that sellers are still in a pretty good place financially. Many bought before the pandemic and locked in a once-in-a-lifetime mortgage rate. Many have been able to build up significant equity over the past few years. An increasing share are de-listing altogether, rather than cutting prices further.

“If there’s no life event driver, like they have to move for a job, we see that sometimes sellers look at the inventory building up and they go, okay, maybe this is not the year. I can wait another year,” she says. Those who do need to work for a job or because they are growing their family may choose to rent out their current home rather than sell it.

For those who are part of the lingering listings, Ng says to focus on making your listing stand out. “Boost screen appeal” with plenty of staged photos and 3D or video tours.

[ad_2]

]]>
http://livelaughlovedo.com/home-buyers-have-more-negotiation-power-than-theyve-had-in-years/feed/ 0