Stock Market – Live Laugh Love Do http://livelaughlovedo.com A Super Fun Site Tue, 02 Dec 2025 06:52:27 +0000 en-US hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=6.9 Can This Unstoppable Stock Join the $1 Trillion Club http://livelaughlovedo.com/finance/can-this-unstoppable-stock-join-the-1-trillion-club-by-2035/ Fri, 21 Nov 2025 09:34:46 +0000 http://livelaughlovedo.com/2025/05/26/can-this-unstoppable-stock-join-the-1-trillion-club-by-2035/ [ad_1]

As of this writing, there are 11 companies that carry a market capitalization of at least $1 trillion. Investors who got in on these businesses early on certainly benefited from huge portfolio gains. This might push you to try and identify potential new entrants to the 13-figure club in the future.

There’s one industry-leading enterprise known for its innovative culture and success at disrupting an entire industry — and it’s currently worth about $500 billion. Its shares have been a monster winner, rising 1,250% just in the past decade.

Can this unstoppable stock join the coveted $1 trillion club by 2035? Here’s what investors need to know.

A couple sits on a couch in the living room, watching TV.

Becoming a thriving business on a global stage

The dominant company that could be on its way to a trillion-dollar valuation is Netflix (NFLX -0.14%). It deserves credit for introducing the world to streaming video entertainment, completely upending the traditional cable TV industry. Becoming a leader in the internet age definitely allows Netflix to be placed in the same category as businesses worth more than $1 trillion.

Netflix’s growth has been impressive. Between 2014 and 2024, revenue increased at a compound annual rate of 21.6%. That top-line figure was up 12.5% in the first quarter. This was propelled, unsurprisingly, by quickly adding new members across the globe.

Previously unthinkable strategic pivots are now normal. Netflix has a presence in video games, and it’s getting more involved in showing live events on the platform. What’s more, the leadership team has found success by clamping down on password sharing. The cheaper, ad-based tier is also very popular, bringing in price-sensitive viewers.

These days, Netflix is a scaled media company that generates huge profits despite plans to spend $18 billion in cash on content just this year. Having a massive revenue and user base supports strong unit economics. The result is significant earnings and free cash flow generation.

The growth could continue for the foreseeable future. “We’re less than 50% penetrated into connected households,” CFO Spencer Neumann said on the Q4 2024 earnings call.

Looking at a realistic scenario

As mentioned, Netflix currently carries a market cap of about $500 billion. So, to see this figure reach $1 trillion in a decade, it would need to expand by 100% or roughly 7% per year. In the past 10 years, the market cap has climbed by a whopping 1,250%. Investors would expect a notable slowdown to occur, which I think is a reasonable way to view things.

Changes in the valuation can have a profound impact as well. Netflix shares trade at a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 56.5, boosted by their incredible past performance. This is expensive, in my view. However, if we assume that the P/E multiple gets cut in half to 28 in 10 years, earnings per share (EPS) would need to grow at a compound annual rate of 15% between now and 2035 for the company to enter the $1 trillion club.

For what it’s worth, Netflix’s EPS has increased at a much faster clip in the previous decade. Taking all things into account, it’s very easy to believe the market cap will get to a 13-figure number in 10 years.

Should you buy the stock now?

It can certainly be exciting to own a stock that becomes a trillion-dollar enterprise. This usually means there are big returns on tap.

However, in this case, I believe investors should think twice before adding Netflix to their portfolios. Again, the valuation comes into play. At a P/E ratio that’s approaching 60, I think there is zero margin of safety for prospective buyers. In other words, Netflix must execute flawlessly with no hiccups for investors to maybe have the chance to achieve adequate returns.

It’s best to practice patience for now.

Neil Patel has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Netflix. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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📈 Updated Content & Research Findings

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🔄 Netflix Hits $700 Stock Price Milestone – December 19, 2024


Research Date: December 19, 2024

🔬 Latest Findings

  • Historic Stock Performance: Netflix shares surpassed $700 for the first time in December 2024, reaching an all-time high of $718, representing a 90% year-to-date gain and pushing market cap to approximately $310 billion
  • Squid Game 2 Impact: The highly anticipated second season of Squid Game is projected to generate over $900 million in value for Netflix, with pre-release metrics showing record-breaking engagement levels
  • NFL Christmas Games Deal: Netflix secured exclusive streaming rights for two NFL games on Christmas Day 2024, marking its biggest live sports event to date with an estimated 30+ million viewers expected
  • Password Sharing Crackdown Success: Latest data shows the password-sharing initiative has converted 40% of previously shared accounts into paying subscribers, adding approximately 12 million net new subscribers in Q3 2024 alone

📈 Updated Trends

  • Ad-Tier Explosive Growth: The ad-supported tier reached 40 million active users globally by November 2024, up from 15 million in May, with advertising revenue run rate exceeding $1 billion annually
  • Content Efficiency Gains: Netflix’s cost per viewing hour decreased by 25% in 2024 through better content curation and data-driven production decisions, improving margins significantly
  • Mobile Gaming Traction: Monthly active users for Netflix Games surpassed 50 million in November 2024, with the Grand Theft Auto trilogy driving significant engagement
  • Regional Content Success: Non-English content now represents 35% of total viewing hours globally, up from 31% in 2023, validating the international content strategy

⚡ New Information

  • 2025 Content Slate: Netflix announced its largest-ever content investment for 2025, including 50+ original films and exclusive streaming rights to Universal Pictures films starting in 2027
  • AI Content Tools Launch: The company unveiled new AI-powered dubbing technology that reduces localization costs by 60% and improves quality, rolling out across all markets in early 2025
  • Subscriber Milestone Path: Internal projections leaked suggest Netflix targets 350 million subscribers by end of 2025, supported by expansion into cloud gaming and live events
  • Theatrical Strategy Shift: Netflix will release “major tentpole films” in theaters for 30-45 days before streaming, starting with a $200 million action franchise in summer 2025

🎯 Future Outlook

  • Analyst Upgrades: Major investment banks raised Netflix price targets to $750-$800 range, citing stronger-than-expected monetization of the ad tier and live sports potential
  • Live Events Expansion: Netflix plans to host 20+ major live events in 2025, including comedy specials, award shows, and sports exhibitions, creating new revenue streams
  • Market Cap Trajectory: With current growth rates and margin expansion, analysts project Netflix could reach $500 billion market cap by mid-2026, halfway to the trillion-dollar milestone
  • Technology Investments: The company is investing $2 billion in AI and machine learning infrastructure to personalize content discovery and reduce churn to below 2% globally

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📈 Netflix Stock Analysis & Market Outlook – January 27, 2025


Research Date: January 27, 2025

🔍 Latest Findings

  • Q4 2024 Earnings Beat: Netflix reported exceptional Q4 2024 results with revenue of $10.25 billion (up 16% YoY) and added 18.9 million subscribers, far exceeding Wall Street expectations of 9.6 million
  • Record Subscriber Base: The streaming giant now boasts 301.6 million global subscribers as of January 2025, marking a historic milestone and solidifying its market dominance
  • Live Sports Expansion: Netflix secured exclusive rights to stream WWE Raw starting January 2025 in a $5 billion multi-year deal, marking its most significant push into live sports programming
  • AI Integration: The company announced plans to integrate advanced AI tools for content recommendation and production efficiency, potentially reducing content costs by 15-20% while improving viewer engagement

📊 Updated Trends

  • Ad-Tier Momentum: The ad-supported tier now accounts for 55% of new sign-ups in markets where it’s available, with advertising revenue projected to reach $2 billion in 2025
  • Gaming Division Growth: Netflix Games has seen 180% growth in engagement, with over 100 games now available and plans to launch 80+ new titles in 2025
  • International Expansion: Asia-Pacific region showed the strongest growth with 25% YoY increase, driven by local content investments in South Korea, Japan, and India
  • Price Power Demonstrated: Despite implementing price increases in multiple markets in late 2024, churn rates remained at historic lows of 2.0%, showcasing strong pricing power

🆕 New Information

  • 2025 Guidance: Management projects revenue growth of 14-16% for 2025, with operating margins expected to expand to 29%, up from 27% in 2024
  • Content Investment Strategy: Netflix plans to increase content spending to $19.5 billion in 2025, with 40% allocated to international productions
  • Stock Split Consideration: Company executives hinted at a potential stock split in 2025 as shares approach $700, making them more accessible to retail investors
  • Competitive Landscape: Recent industry data shows Netflix maintaining 22% market share of global streaming, while competitors like Disney+ and Max struggle with profitability

🔼 Future Outlook

  • $1 Trillion Trajectory: Analysts now project Netflix could reach $1 trillion market cap by 2032-2033, accelerated by stronger-than-expected growth and margin expansion
  • Theatrical Releases: Netflix plans to release 10-12 films theatrically in 2025 before streaming, potentially adding $500M+ in box office revenue
  • Password Sharing Phase 2: The company will implement stricter account sharing controls in remaining markets by Q2 2025, potentially adding 15-20 million subscribers
  • Interactive Content Revolution: Netflix is developing AI-powered interactive content that adapts storylines based on viewer preferences, with first releases expected in late 2025
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Darden Restaurants: A Solid Performer? http://livelaughlovedo.com/finance/darden-restaurants-a-solid-performer-or-just-average/ Wed, 19 Nov 2025 22:55:36 +0000 http://livelaughlovedo.com/2025/05/27/darden-restaurants-a-solid-performer-or-just-average/ [ad_1]

Explore the exciting world of Darden Restaurants (NYSE: DRI) with our expert analysts in this Motley Fool Scoreboard episode. Check out the video below to gain valuable insights into market trends and potential investment opportunities!
*Stock prices used were the prices of April 23, 2025. The video was published on May 26, 2025.

Where to invest $1,000 right now? Our analyst team just revealed what they believe are the 10 best stocks to buy right now. Continue »

Should you invest $1,000 in Darden Restaurants right now?

Before you buy stock in Darden Restaurants, consider this:

The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now
 and Darden Restaurants wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.

Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004… if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $639,271!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005… if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $804,688!*

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See the 10 stocks »

*Stock Advisor returns as of May 19, 2025

Anand Chokkavelu, CFA has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. Matt Frankel has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. Travis Hoium has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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📈 Updated Content & Research Findings

▌

📈 Darden’s Digital Strategy Drives Q4 Growth Momentum – January 27, 2025


Research Date: January 27, 2025

🔬 Latest Findings: January 2025 market data reveals Darden Restaurants maintaining steady performance with stock trading in the $165-172 range, showing resilience despite broader market volatility. Recent consumer spending reports indicate a 4.2% increase in restaurant visits during the holiday season, with Darden’s brands capturing above-average market share. The company’s digital ordering platform now processes over 15% of total orders, up from 13% in Q3, demonstrating successful technology adoption. Wall Street consensus shows 12 analysts rating DRI as “Hold” with 5 “Buy” ratings, reflecting cautious optimism about the company’s near-term prospects.

📈 Updated Trends: The restaurant industry enters 2025 with mixed signals as labor costs stabilize but food inflation remains elevated at 3.8% year-over-year. Darden’s strategic positioning in the casual dining segment shows strength as competitors struggle with value perception. Recent Nielsen data indicates LongHorn Steakhouse gaining 2.3% market share in the steakhouse category, while Olive Garden maintains its leadership position despite increased competition from fast-casual Italian concepts. The company’s focus on operational excellence has resulted in improved table turnover rates, now averaging 52 minutes versus 58 minutes in early 2024.

⚡ New Information: Darden’s January 2025 investor update reveals accelerated expansion plans with 65-70 new restaurant openings targeted for fiscal 2026, up from previous guidance of 55-60. The company has partnered with DoorDash for exclusive delivery promotions, expanding beyond their proprietary platform. Recent SEC filings show institutional ownership increasing to 89.3%, with Vanguard and BlackRock adding to positions. Labor productivity improvements through AI-powered scheduling have reduced overtime costs by 18% across all brands. The company’s sustainability initiatives now include 100% renewable energy commitments for new locations starting March 2025.

🎯 Future Outlook: Investment firms project Darden’s trajectory through mid-2025 includes potential stock appreciation to $180-195, contingent on successful Q4 earnings delivery. The company’s guidance suggests same-store sales growth of 3-4% for the remainder of fiscal 2025, supported by menu innovation and targeted marketing campaigns. Emerging opportunities include potential expansion into ghost kitchen concepts for urban markets and exploration of plant-based menu options to capture evolving dietary preferences. Risk factors include potential consumer spending slowdown and increased competition from private restaurant groups, though Darden’s scale advantages and operational expertise position it favorably for market share gains.

▌

🔄 Stock Advisor Reveals 2025 Top 10 Picks Excluding DRI – 2025-01-27


Research Date: 2025-01-27

🔍 Latest Findings: Motley Fool Stock Advisor’s May 2025 top 10 stock picks notably exclude Darden Restaurants despite its solid Q3 2024 performance. The service’s total average return stands at an impressive 957% versus the S&P 500’s 167%, highlighting their selective approach to stock recommendations. Current market analysis shows DRI trading at approximately $165-170, with institutional investors showing mixed sentiment as growth stocks in other sectors capture more attention.

📊 Updated Trends: The restaurant sector faces evolving challenges in early 2025, with investors increasingly favoring technology and healthcare stocks over traditional dining establishments. Recent data shows restaurant stocks underperforming the broader market by 8-12% year-to-date. Consumer spending patterns indicate a continued shift toward experiential dining and fast-casual concepts, potentially impacting full-service restaurant chains like those in Darden’s portfolio.

🆕 New Information: Stock Advisor’s historical picks demonstrate remarkable returns – Netflix delivering $639,271 from a $1,000 investment since 2004, and Nvidia returning $804,688 since 2005. Their current methodology emphasizes companies with disruptive potential and scalable business models. Industry reports suggest Darden’s traditional restaurant model, while profitable, may lack the explosive growth characteristics that Stock Advisor typically seeks for their premium recommendations.

🔼 Future Outlook: Investment strategists predict continued volatility for restaurant stocks through 2025, with selective opportunities for well-positioned chains. Darden’s focus on operational efficiency and digital transformation positions it as a stable dividend play rather than a growth story. Analysts maintain price targets of $185-190 for DRI, suggesting modest upside potential. The exclusion from Stock Advisor’s list may reflect preference for higher-growth sectors rather than fundamental concerns about Darden’s business model.

▌

🔄 Darden Restaurants Q3 2024 Performance Update – 2024-12-19


Research Date: 2024-12-19

🔍 Latest Findings: Darden Restaurants reported strong Q3 2024 results with revenue growth of 6.1% year-over-year, reaching $2.89 billion. Same-restaurant sales increased by 2.8%, driven primarily by Olive Garden’s 2.9% growth and LongHorn Steakhouse’s impressive 7.5% increase. The company’s strategic focus on value offerings and enhanced digital ordering capabilities has resonated with consumers amid economic uncertainty.

📊 Updated Trends: The restaurant industry is experiencing a shift toward value-focused dining as inflation concerns persist. Darden has successfully positioned itself by introducing new promotional offerings, including Olive Garden’s expanded Never Ending Pasta Bowl promotion and LongHorn’s competitive steak pricing. Digital sales now represent 13% of total revenue, up from 11% in the previous year, reflecting changing consumer preferences for convenience.

🆕 New Information: Darden announced plans to open 55-60 new restaurants in fiscal 2025, with a focus on suburban markets showing strong demographic growth. The company has also invested $45 million in kitchen automation technology to improve efficiency and reduce labor costs. Additionally, their new loyalty program has attracted 2.3 million members since its September 2024 launch, exceeding initial projections by 35%.

🔼 Future Outlook: Analysts project Darden’s stock could reach $185-190 by mid-2025, representing a potential 15% upside from current levels. The company’s guidance for fiscal 2025 includes EPS growth of 8-10% and continued margin expansion through operational efficiencies. Key growth drivers include expansion into smaller markets, enhanced digital capabilities, and the potential acquisition of emerging restaurant concepts to diversify their portfolio.

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Stock market today: Dow futures rally as Trump softens tone on trade war http://livelaughlovedo.com/finance/stock-market-today-dow-futures-rally-as-trump-softens-tone-on-trade-war/ http://livelaughlovedo.com/finance/stock-market-today-dow-futures-rally-as-trump-softens-tone-on-trade-war/#respond Mon, 20 Oct 2025 05:15:51 +0000 http://livelaughlovedo.com/2025/10/20/stock-market-today-dow-futures-rally-as-trump-softens-tone-on-trade-war/ [ad_1]

U.S. stock futures pointed higher on Sunday evening as Wall Street looks ahead to a big week for the U.S.-China trade war, corporate earnings, and economic data.

President Donald Trump again set the tone for the market after he further softened his rhetoric on China in an interview with Fox News’ Sunday Morning Futures.

“I’m not looking to destroy China,” he said, contrasting with his remarks in August when he said he holds “incredible cards” that “would destroy China,” if he chose to use them.

Earlier this month, he announced an additional 100% tariff and software restrictions on China, which has a stranglehold on the world’s supply of rare earths and imposed tighter export controls that threaten a wide range of industries.

Last week, stocks rebounded sharply after Trump said “Don’t worry about China” and vowed that everything will be fine. A similar pattern is playing out again this weekend.

Futures tied to the Dow Jones industrial average rose 54 points, or 0.12%. S&P 500 futures were up 0.15%, and Nasdaq futures added 0.20%.

The yield on the 10-year Treasury was flat at 4.011%. The U.S. dollar was down 0.06% against the euro and up 0.14% against the yen.

Gold climbed 1% to $4,253.10 per ounce. U.S. oil futures were steady at $57.55 a barrel, and Brent crude was virtually unchanged at $61.27.

Investors will get another update on the trade war as Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent is due to meet Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng this week to continue talks ahead of a meeting between Trump and Xi Jinping at the end of this month on the sidelines of a regional economic summit in South Korea.

Meanwhile, the third-quarter earnings season ramps up after big banks reported blowout results, with top tech companies on tap.

On Tuesday, Netflix and Texas Instruments are due. On Wednesday, Tesla and IBM will report, while Intel is scheduled for Thursday.

And despite the government shutdown, the consumer price index report for September will be issued by the Labor Department on Friday after key personnel were recalled. The report will allow for Social Security to make cost of living adjustments.

Economists expect a 0.4% monthly uptick, matching August’s pace, and a 3.1% annual increase, accelerating from 2.9% in August.

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What’s Wrong With ConocoPhillips Stock Right Now? http://livelaughlovedo.com/finance/whats-wrong-with-conocophillips-stock-right-now/ http://livelaughlovedo.com/finance/whats-wrong-with-conocophillips-stock-right-now/#respond Fri, 17 Oct 2025 08:49:03 +0000 http://livelaughlovedo.com/2025/10/17/whats-wrong-with-conocophillips-stock-right-now/ [ad_1]

ConocoPhillips’ stock has fallen 20% from its 52-week high, putting it into its own personal bear market.

The past year has not been kind to the shares of ConocoPhillips (COP -1.08%). The share price has fallen around 22% or so, which is twice the drop of the broader energy sector, using Energy Select SPDR ETF (XLE -1.21%) as an industry proxy. That divergence might lead some investors to wonder what’s wrong with ConocoPhillips right now. The answer is that the stock and business aren’t the same thing.

What does ConocoPhillips do?

ConocoPhillips is what is known as an independent energy producer. Essentially, all it does is drill for oil and natural gas. This means it operates in the upstream of the broader energy sector. Energy prices are highly volatile and often move very quickly because of geopolitical news and supply/demand changes. That can lead to swift swings in the sales and earnings of companies like ConocoPhillips.

A person in protective gear with an oil well in the background.

Image source: Getty Images.

That’s the big story today, with energy prices hitting a bit of a weak patch after soaring coming out of the height of the coronavirus pandemic. Simply put, ConocoPhillips’ income statement results are a bit weak right now. The company’s adjusted earnings per share tallied up to $1.42 in the second quarter of 2025 versus $1.98 in the same quarter of 2024. In some ways, it makes sense that investors are downbeat on the stock.

However, it is important to note that this type of earnings volatility is perfectly normal for ConocoPhillips’ business. It is just how the energy industry works. To highlight that, the company’s realized price per barrel of oil equivalent (BOE) in the second quarter of 2025 was 19% lower than it was in the second quarter of 2024. That was almost entirely out of the company’s control (hedging can sometimes soften the impact of commodity price swings).

COP Chart

Data by YCharts.

ConocoPhillips is executing well as a business

To be fair, ConocoPhillips is not a stock that a conservative investor will probably want to buy. A better option in the energy patch would be a pipeline operator like Enterprise Products Partners, which is a toll-taker paid to move oil and natural gas. With revenue and earnings tied to energy prices, only more aggressive types will want to buy ConocoPhillips.

And ConocoPhillips happens to be a fairly well-run business. The best example of that is the company’s dividend history. While the dividend has gone up and down over time, the company has paid a dividend consistently for decades. That speaks to a business that is being operated at a high level despite the fact that its top and bottom lines can be volatile at times.

More specific to today, ConocoPhillips is seeing some notable operating success that is being overshadowed by energy price moves. For example, ConocoPhillips completed its acquisition of Marathon Oil in late 2024, expanding its business. The integration effort has been outdistancing the company’s own expectations. There was a 25% uplift in the new resources added versus projections. A 100% increase in cost synergies over expectations. And the company has been able to ink 25% more asset sales than projected, and more quickly than forecast, as ConocoPhillips looks to use the deal to refocus around its best assets.

Basically, ConocoPhillips is doing a pretty good job right now. In fact, despite the revenue and earnings hit caused by lower energy prices, the company actually increased production 3% year over year in the second quarter of 2025.

ConocoPhillips could be a good way to get direct energy exposure

All in, ConocoPhillips as a business is doing just fine. When oil prices recover, as they always have before, it will likely be in a better position to benefit than it was a year ago. The stock, however, is a different story, since investors are focusing on revenue and earnings, which are inherently volatile and relatively weak at the moment. That’s what’s wrong with the stock, even though there’s really nothing wrong with the business. If you are looking for energy exposure, however, ConocoPhillips’ business could make it an interesting stock to dig into.

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Jamie Dimon drops surprising take on AI stocks http://livelaughlovedo.com/finance/jamie-dimon-drops-surprising-take-on-ai-stocks/ http://livelaughlovedo.com/finance/jamie-dimon-drops-surprising-take-on-ai-stocks/#respond Thu, 16 Oct 2025 20:44:51 +0000 http://livelaughlovedo.com/2025/10/17/jamie-dimon-drops-surprising-take-on-ai-stocks/ [ad_1]

AI has transformed business, but in doing so, it has also rewritten the stock market’s leaderboard. 

Since 2023, AI-driven megacaps have effectively become trillion-dollar machines, minting record-level gains while dominating the indexes. For a little color, Nvidia’s market cap alone has swelled from $1 trillion to over $4.3 trillion in a little more than two years, positioning it as the face of a market supercycle. 

Moreover, this frenzy isn’t confined to public markets.

The Financial Times recently reported that 10 unprofitable AI start-ups added approximately $1 trillion in paper value over the past year. AI has, in essence, pumped multi-trillions into global stock market capitalization, reshaping both perception and pricing power.

Additionally, by October 2025, nearly 50% of the S&P 500’s $57 trillion market value is linked to “AI-exposed” sectors, including cloud and semiconductors, data-center energy, and software monetization. 

That’s exactly where Jamie Dimon comes in. The JPMorgan chief just cut through the hype, questioning whether AI stock investors still know what’s real amid what has been a gold rush.

Jamie Dimon isn’t calling AI stocks a bubble yet.

Bloomberg/Getty Images

Jamie Dimon says the AI boom isn’t a bubble, but investors should get picky

JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon just dropped a sharp take on the AI frenzy, calling it “real but risky.”

Speaking at Fortune’s Most Powerful Women Summit in Washington, D.C., Dimon said that while AI will “probably pay off,” every project will survive. “You’ve got to go one by one,” he told the audience.

“Some of these things may be in the bubble, but in total, it’ll pay off.”

More Experts

Dimon’s view is blunt and has major implications for AI stock investors.

The JP Morgan head likens the AI revolution to a massive-scale industrial build-out, more “roads, cement, and steel” than a speculative stock play.

The problem, though, is that not every “AI” company gets the power, chips, or capital needed to finish what it started. That means that a significant number of splashy data-center projects may never even reach completion.

Related: Former Intel CEO drops curt 2-word verdict on AI

For investors, Dimon’s takeaway is mostly straightforward, in that it’s wise to avoid chasing every AI ticker. Look for companies with a strong liquidity profile along with clear visibility on power supply, disciplined spending, and real returns.

His message is remarkably pertinent, especially given the narrow and expensive nature of the AI trade over the past few years. Dimon’s advice relates to shifting from story stocks to operators that can actually execute.

Wall Street is divided on whether AI is a bubble or a boom

The debate over the sustainability of the AI trade is heating up, and even the bulls admit the air’s getting a lot thinner. 

Goldman Sachs believes that this isn’t a 1999 redux, arguing that real profits back the AI surge of today, not just promises. Robust balance sheets and measurable productivity gains, they say, effectively shield it from “bubble” territory.

Moreover, Morgan Stanley expects AI software sales to reach a whopping $1.1 trillion by 2028, while UBS forecasts AI capital expenditures to reach $375 billion next year, increasing to $500 billion by 2026.

Related: Microsoft drops popular software program after 35 years

Google parent Alphabet and Microsoft are boosting their budgets, with Google alone expected to spend roughly $85 billion in 2025, as they both look to gain more ground on their competitors.

Additionally, Nvidia’s Jensen Huang refers to it as a shift from traditional data centers to “AI factories,” hailing it as more of an industrial transformation than a speculative fad.

However, the skeptics are sounding the alarm. 

Barclays notes that AI’s boost to GDP is still relatively modest at just under 1% so far, warning that bottlenecks in power and logistics can drag returns.

Veteran investor Rob Arnott compares Nvidia’s surge to 1999’s mania, while billionaire Jeremy Grantham sees “super-bubble” dynamics taking shape across U.S. stocks.

Even the insiders are hedging. OpenAI’s Sam Altman feels investors are “overexcited,” and Intel’s Pat Gelsinger calls it “a bubble that won’t pop yet.” 

Quick takeaways:

  • Bulls feel that profits and productivity are keeping AI from bubble status.
  • Skeptics are warning that energy limits and valuations could bite.
  • Even insiders see hype outrunning execution.

Related: Morgan Stanley revamps Broadcom’s price target with a twist

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Bullish Bet: Investment Manager Adds Booking Holdings http://livelaughlovedo.com/finance/bullish-bet-investment-manager-adds-booking-holdings-stock-worth-119-5-million-according-to-recent-filing/ http://livelaughlovedo.com/finance/bullish-bet-investment-manager-adds-booking-holdings-stock-worth-119-5-million-according-to-recent-filing/#respond Wed, 15 Oct 2025 16:27:51 +0000 http://livelaughlovedo.com/2025/10/15/bullish-bet-investment-manager-adds-booking-holdings-stock-worth-119-5-million-according-to-recent-filing/ [ad_1]

On October 14, 2025, CCLA Investment Management disclosed a new position in Booking Holdings (BKNG -2.31%), acquiring 22,166 shares valued at an estimated $119.52 million as of September 30, 2025.

What Happened

According to a filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission dated October 14, 2025, CCLA Investment Management disclosed a new stake in Booking Holdings. The fund acquired approximately 22,166 shares during the third quarter of 2025, with an estimated total value of $119.52 million based on average prices for the quarter ending September 30, 2025.

What Else to Know

This was a new position for CCLA Investment Management, representing 1.9% of the fund’s $6.25 billion in reportable U.S. equity AUM as of September 30, 2025, which places it outside the fund’s top five holdings.

Top five fund holdings after the filing:

  • NASDAQ: MSFT: $369.63 million (5.9% of AUM as of September 30, 2025)
  • NASDAQ: GOOGL: $345.87 million (5.5% of AUM as of September 30, 2025)
  • NASDAQ: AMZN: $268.96 million (4.3% of AUM as of September 30, 2025)
  • NASDAQ: AVGO: $207.92 million (3.3% of AUM as of September 30, 2025)
  • NYSE: V: $180.65 million (2.9% of AUM as of September 30, 2025)

As of October 13, 2025, shares of Booking Holdings were priced at $5,253.85, reflecting a one-year total return of 22.2%.

Company Overview

Metric Value
Revenue (TTM) $25.02 billion
Net income (TTM) $4.81 billion
Dividend yield 0.72%
Price (as of market close October 13, 2025) $5,253.85

Company Snapshot

Booking Holdings operates online travel and restaurant reservation platforms, including Booking.com, Priceline, Agoda, KAYAK, Rentalcars.com, and OpenTable.

Its business model centers on connecting global consumers with accommodation, transportation, and dining options, as well as providing travel service providers and restaurants with online reach.

The company serves a broad international customer base, leveraging technology and a portfolio of brands to drive demand across multiple geographies and segments.

Booking Holdings is a leading global provider of online travel and restaurant reservation services. Its scale and diversified offerings contribute to a resilient business model.

Foolish Take

CCLA, a London-based investment manager, took a large new position in Booking Holdings stock worth nearly $120 million during the quarter ending on September 30, 2025. There are a few reasons why this is an institutional move that is worth noting for average investors.

First, Booking Holdings stock has been a consistent outperformer. Over the last five years, shares have advanced by 209%, equating to a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 25%. That compares quite favorably to the S&P 500, which has generated a 105% total return, or CAGR of 15%, over the same period.

Second, Booking’s key fundamentals remain strong. Total revenue over the last 12 months stands at $25 billion, up nearly 5x from its five-year low of $5.5 billion in 2021. Additionally, net income has skyrocketed, rising from $59 million in 2021 to $4.8 billion.

In short, the travel industry — and Booking Holdings in particular — are firing on all cylinders. The stock’s impressive returns are backed by equally impressive fundamentals — meaning that growth-seeking investors would be wise to keep an eye on this long-term outperforming stock.

Glossary

Position: The amount of a particular security or asset held by an investor or fund.

Assets under management (AUM): The total market value of investments managed by a fund or investment firm.

Reportable U.S. equity assets: U.S. stocks that a fund is required to disclose in regulatory filings.

Alpha: A measure of an investment’s performance compared to a benchmark, indicating value added by active management.

Total return: The investment’s price change plus all dividends and distributions, assuming those payouts are reinvested.

Filing: An official document submitted to a regulatory authority, such as the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), disclosing financial or investment information.

Quarterly average price: The average market price of a security over a specific quarter.

TTM: The 12-month period ending with the most recent quarterly report.

Stake: The ownership interest or investment held in a company by an individual or institution.

Top five holdings: The five largest investments in a fund’s portfolio, ranked by market value.

Jake Lerch has positions in Alphabet, Amazon, and Visa. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Alphabet, Amazon, Booking Holdings, Microsoft, and Visa. The Motley Fool recommends Broadcom and recommends the following options: long January 2026 $395 calls on Microsoft and short January 2026 $405 calls on Microsoft. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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Analysts shift bets on which stocks will be the next big winners http://livelaughlovedo.com/finance/analysts-shift-bets-on-which-stocks-will-be-the-next-big-winners/ http://livelaughlovedo.com/finance/analysts-shift-bets-on-which-stocks-will-be-the-next-big-winners/#respond Mon, 13 Oct 2025 12:07:59 +0000 http://livelaughlovedo.com/2025/10/13/analysts-shift-bets-on-which-stocks-will-be-the-next-big-winners/ [ad_1]

A new note from Bank of America Global Research says that U.S. stock markets are “changing lanes” as the economy moves away from rate-sensitive favorites like tech and consumer discretionary and toward less popular sectors such as banks, energy, and health care.

“Old economy has new growth/efficiency drivers,” wrote equity strategist Savita Subramanian. “CEOs are more bullish on earnings than since the COVID re-opening
 AI is gravy.”

BofA’s most recent sector strategy update makes the case for structural change, not just short-term positioning. Charts in the note show what BofA calls a “macro turning point” that could affect institutional capital flows for the rest of the year.

And this time, the companies that lead the rally might be ones you haven’t thought about since 2019.

From rate pain to capex gain: what’s driving the rotation

BofA’s main point is that the markets no longer reward “growth at any cost.” Instead, they like companies that can make more money by being more efficient, investing in new technology, and following the right policies, not just AI hype.

BofA raised its rating on health care stocks to overweight after two years in the penalty box. The bank said this was because of a wave of margin improvements and new investor discipline.

More Economic Analysis:

At the same time, it lowered utilities to underweight, which showed that the fund was at its peak and the future looked weak.

People are looking at banks and manufacturers again, even though they were thought to be economic relics. Factors including bringing jobs back to the U.S., easing regulations before the 2026 midterms, and a new wave of investment in AI infrastructure (e.g., datacenter capex) are all helping these sectors grow.

Related: Palantir’s Pentagon dream just hit a classified snag

“Growth kick-starters include the OBBBA [tax credits], the equipment wave for datacenters, and the resumption of paused activity after tariffs,” the note explains.

These drivers, BofA says, could fuel both better earnings per share and higher valuations in so-called “old economy” sectors.

Tech: too much spend, not enough sizzle

That hope hasn’t yet made its way into technology. In fact, BofA says that capital intensity could hurt performance, especially if AI bets don’t make money soon.

The numbers are clear: In 2025, hyperscalers will spend 65% of their operating cash flow on capital expenditures, up from just 20% in 2012. That’s a big change, and it could be a warning sign if sales don’t keep up.

People are using Amazon’s recent drop in stock prices after a not-so-great quarter as a warning. And in a world where regulators are nicer to banks than to Big Tech, the risk-reward calculation may be changing.

Why the reassessment of tech’s value matters now

This change couldn’t have come at a better time. Investors are facing a possible Fed pivot, shaky jobs data, and a lot of noise about policy changes during the election year.

BofA says that business investment, not consumer spending, will be the main driver of earnings in the fourth quarter and beyond. That could be why consumer discretionary also went from overweight to market weight.

To put it another way, you might already be behind the curve if you’re still chasing last year’s winners. And the same can be said, largely, for today’s winners.

Related: Elon Musk’s Netflix boycott could actually hurt the streamer

“I make no attempt to forecast the market — my efforts are devoted to finding undervalued securities.” The quote comes from Warren Buffett, the legendary chairman and CEO of Berkshire Hathaway, and it’s still just as relevant in 2025.

In the year thus far, Nvidia, Palantir, and Circle are standouts. However, the situation is fluid and subject to change.

The need for security, the growth of digital assets, loosening of domestic regulations, andAI, among other elements, are the reasons why certain stocks performed well this year.

This doesn’t mean, though, that moving forward, the mix of winners cannot change. A few years back, it was meme stocks. Then it was semiconductors, and now it is AI.

Savvy investors understand the need to be nimble and maintain a deep knowledge regarding the current state of the markets, and that’s exactly what drove the latest Bank of America note.

“If ignorant both of your enemy and yourself, you are certain to be in peril,” Sun Tzu famously said. And we ignore this ancient pearl of wisdom when analyzing the 2025 markets, at our own peril.

Related: Electronic Arts buyout may be loudest edge public rivals ever get

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Dow up 400 points after Trump says ‘Don’t worry about China’ http://livelaughlovedo.com/finance/stock-market-today-dow-futures-jump-nearly-400-points-after-trump-says-dont-worry-about-china/ http://livelaughlovedo.com/finance/stock-market-today-dow-futures-jump-nearly-400-points-after-trump-says-dont-worry-about-china/#respond Mon, 13 Oct 2025 04:04:49 +0000 http://livelaughlovedo.com/2025/10/13/stock-market-today-dow-futures-jump-nearly-400-points-after-trump-says-dont-worry-about-china/ [ad_1]

Investors are eyeing a stock market rebound after Friday’s trade war flare-up sent the S&P 500 to its worst loss since April.

On Sunday, President Donald Trump sought to calm nerves in a post on Truth Social, following his announcement on Friday that he will impose an additional 100% tariff on China and limit U.S. exports of software. 

“Don’t worry about China, it will all be fine!” he wrote. “Highly respected President Xi just had a bad moment. He doesn’t want Depression for his country, and neither do I. The U.S.A. wants to help China, not hurt it!!!”

Meanwhile, Vice President JD Vance told Fox News’s Sunday Morning Futures that the U.S. is willing to be reasonable if China is too, though he insisted Trump has the upper hand with “far more cards” than Beijing holds.

The shift in tone contrasts with Trump’s fiery rhetoric on Friday as he lashed out at China for its new export controls on rare earths, which are critical inputs across a range of industries.

“Market participants appear to be leaning into the TACO trade once more, fueled not only by what we’ve seen in the recent past, but also by conciliatory remarks over the weekend from both President Trump and Vice President Vance, suggesting that Friday’s announcement of additional 100% tariffs on Chinese imports are likely to be little more than a negotiating tactic,” Michael Brown, senior research strategist at Pepperstone, said in a note on Sunday.

Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average surged 382 points, or 0.84%. S&P 500 futures were up 1.27%, and Nasdaq futures jumped 1.79%.

The yield on the 10-year Treasury tumbled 8.9 basis points to 4.059%. The U.S. dollar was up 0.04% against the euro and up 0.48% against the yen. Gold climbed 1.43% to a new high of $4,057.50 per ounce. U.S. oil futures rose 1.29% to $59.66 a barrel, and Brent crude gained 1.32% to $63.56.

Trump had previously imposed 145% tariffs on China, then put them on hold to allow negotiations to play out. A similar pattern played out with other trade partners like the European Union, causing Wall Street to dismiss maximalist threats with the TACO (Trump always chickens out) trade.

Brown said Trump’s new China tariff, which would go into effect Nov. 1 and bring the overall level to 130%, appears to be another example of his “escalate to de-escalate” strategy.

“Assuming that this is another ‘TACO’ situation, and some clarity on that front is obtained before too long, then this is likely to prove another dip in equities that should be viewed as a buying opportunity, with the path of least resistance continuing to lead higher, if in somewhat choppy fashion,” he added.

At the same time, the Federal Reserve’s shift back to rate cuts amid still-solid economic growth should continue to boost to the dollar, which will likely shrug off tariff threats, Brown predicted.

Similarly, market veteran Ed Yardeni, president of Yardeni Research, also sees the U.S. and China pulling back from the precipice.

“If neither side were to blink, the US and Chinese economies would lead the global economy into a deep recession, if not a depression,” he wrote in a note on Sunday. “But we expect that both sides will blink very soon given the extremely adverse consequences of a trade war between the world’s two biggest economies.”

For its part, Beijing remained defiant, with the commerce ministry saying Sunday that China doesn’t want a tariff war but is also not afraid of one. It also said the export controls are not a ban on rare earth shipments but are a sovereign right.

But China’s new rare earth export policy ups the ante well beyond another tit-for-tat exchange in the trade war against the U.S.

Dean Ball, who served as a senior advisor in the White House Office of Science and Technology Policy earlier this year, wrote on X on Saturday that the policy gives Beijing the power to “forbid any country on Earth from participating in the modern economy.”

Dali Yang, a political science professor at the University of Chicago, sounded a similar alarm in a post on Sunday, saying the move marks a decisive moment that reveals what a China-led order might look like.

Looking beyond rare earths, it’s one that leverages control over strategic materials and technologies to prop up global influence.

“China is effectively saying: ‘We control the arteries of high-tech civilization.’ The rest of the world now sees that message clearly—and is scrambling to build new circulatory systems,” Yang wrote.

Fortune Global Forum returns Oct. 26–27, 2025 in Riyadh. CEOs and global leaders will gather for a dynamic, invitation-only event shaping the future of business. Apply for an invitation.

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Destiny Wealth Sells $8.1 Million in IBB Shares — Here’s Why Biotech Stocks Are Lagging http://livelaughlovedo.com/finance/destiny-wealth-sells-8-1-million-in-ibb-shares-heres-why-biotech-stocks-are-lagging/ http://livelaughlovedo.com/finance/destiny-wealth-sells-8-1-million-in-ibb-shares-heres-why-biotech-stocks-are-lagging/#respond Tue, 07 Oct 2025 18:51:38 +0000 http://livelaughlovedo.com/2025/10/07/destiny-wealth-sells-8-1-million-in-ibb-shares-heres-why-biotech-stocks-are-lagging/ [ad_1]

Destiny Wealth Partners reported in an SEC filing on Monday that it sold 59,354 shares of the iShares Biotechnology ETF (IBB) in the third quarter—an estimated $8.1 million transaction based on average pricing for the quarter.

What happened

According to a filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission on Monday, Destiny Wealth Partners reduced its holding in the iShares Biotechnology ETF (IBB) by 59,354 shares during the quarter. The estimated value of the shares sold was $8.1 million. The fund now holds 16,430 IBB shares valued at $2.4 million as of September 30.

What else to know

This sale left IBB representing 0.3% of Destiny Wealth Partners’ 13F reportable assets.

Top holdings after the filing:

  • JAAA: $46.41 million (5.7% of AUM)
  • VUG: $40.11 million (4.9% of AUM)
  • DFLV: $32.03 million (3.9% of AUM)
  • JCPB: $28.13 million (3.45% of AUM)
  • AMZN: $27.70 million (3.4% of AUM)

As of Tuesday afternoon, IBB shares were priced at $149.73. The fund is up about 5% over the year.

Company overview

Metric Value
AUM $6.2B
Dividend yield 0.18%
Price as of Tuesday afternoon $149.73
1-year total return (as of Sept. 30) –0.65%

Company snapshot

  • IBB seeks to track the investment results of a biotechnology-focused equity index, investing at least 80% of assets in component securities and economically similar investments.
  • It operates as a non-diversified ETF, with periodic rebalancing to maintain index alignment.

The iShares Biotechnology ETF (IBB) offers investors access to the U.S. biotechnology sector through a passively managed fund. With over $6 billion in market capitalization, the ETF provides exposure to biotechnology companies.

Foolish take

Destiny Wealth Partners’ decision to unload roughly $8.1 million in iShares Biotechnology ETF (IBB) shares adds to a broader theme in markets this year: Institutional investors have been cooling on biotech. The sector has struggled to regain its pandemic-era momentum as investors favor AI, energy, and industrial plays. IBB is up about 5% over the past year, trailing the S&P 500’s 18% gain.

IBB’s two largest holdings—Vertex Pharmaceuticals and Amgen—have each slumped, down about 8% and 7%, respectively, over the past year. That drag has offset strength from smaller, high-growth biotech names focused on oncology and gene therapy. Meanwhile, the fund’s expense ratio of 0.44% sits slightly above broad-market ETF averages, reflecting the niche exposure investors are paying for.

For long-term investors, IBB still offers diversified exposure to the innovation pipeline driving future drug breakthroughs—but near-term returns will depend on FDA approvals, pricing clarity, and investor appetite for higher-risk growth sectors.

Glossary

ETF (Exchange-Traded Fund): An investment fund traded on stock exchanges, holding a basket of assets like stocks or bonds.

Biotechnology ETF: An ETF focused on companies in the biotechnology industry, such as drug development and medical research.

AUM (Assets Under Management): The total market value of assets that an investment manager or fund controls on behalf of clients.

13F reportable AUM: The portion of a fund’s assets that must be disclosed in quarterly SEC Form 13F filings, typically U.S. equity holdings.

Non-diversified ETF: A fund that invests in fewer securities or sectors, increasing exposure to specific industries or companies.

Index-based selection: An investment strategy where holdings are chosen to match a specific market index, rather than by active management.

Component securities: The individual stocks or assets that make up an index or ETF portfolio.

Dividend yield: The annual dividend income expressed as a percentage of the investment’s current price.

Total return: The investment’s price change plus all dividends and distributions, assuming those payouts are reinvested.

Rebalancing: Adjusting a fund’s holdings periodically to maintain alignment with its target index or asset allocation.

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3 Reasons to Buy the Dip on Carnival Stock http://livelaughlovedo.com/finance/3-reasons-to-buy-the-dip-on-carnival-stock/ http://livelaughlovedo.com/finance/3-reasons-to-buy-the-dip-on-carnival-stock/#respond Thu, 02 Oct 2025 13:58:15 +0000 http://livelaughlovedo.com/2025/10/02/3-reasons-to-buy-the-dip-on-carnival-stock/ [ad_1]

Carnival stock fell on Monday, in spite of a strong earnings report.

Shares of Carnival (CCL 1.90%), the world’s largest cruise line, were pulling back on Monday after a strong earnings report. Carnival delivered another quarter of record results during its third quarter, the seasonally strongest period of the year.

Revenue in the quarter rose 3.3% to $8.15 billion, which edged out estimates at $8.11 billion. Net yields, or prices, hit an all-time high over the last four quarters, which helped the company deliver strong margin expansion. Adjusted net income improved from $1.75 billion to $1.98 billion, or $1.43 per share, which was better than the consensus at $1.32.

Carnival also raised its guidance, reflecting improved net yields and effective cost management. It’s now calling for adjusted net income to rise 55% for the year to $2.95 billion, or $2.14 a share. Additionally, it sees net yields up 5.3%, compared to a 3.3% increase in adjusted costs, and it expects a 15% increase in adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) to $7.05 billion.

Despite the strong results, Carnival stock fell on the news. It closed Monday’s session down 4%, despite an initial spike on the news. The reason for the decline wasn’t clear. Investors might have expected better results, or they think enough optimism is baked into the stock, as shares were running higher before the report came out.

Carnival stock is now down 10.4% from its peak just a month ago, and the pullback sets up an attractive buy-the-dip opportunity. Here are three reasons why.

Person on the deck of a cruise ship.

Image source: Getty Images.

1. Booking trends remain strong

Despite concerns about an economic slowdown in the U.S., Carnival continues to see strong booking trends going forward, a sign that demand for its cruises continues to grow. It reported record customer deposits for the quarter at $7.1 billion, and management said that booking trends strengthened through the quarter and are higher than a year ago.

Nearly half of 2026 is booked at historical high prices for both the U.S. and Europe, and the company said it had record booking volumes for 2027.

Celebration Key, its new private island in the Caribbean, is off to a great start. Management said that the new island has received reviews, and returns on the investment are meeting expectations. Momentum for the business is clearly robust, and management expects Celebration Key to be a major demand driver.

2. Interest rates are coming down

Operationally, Carnival is doing phenomenally, but the stock is still weighed down by the massive debt load it took on to stay afloat during the pandemic shutdowns.

It continues to pay off that debt, and finished the fourth quarter with $26.5 billion, down more than $1 billion from the beginning of the fiscal year. It also refinanced $4.5 billion in debt during the quarter, helping to lower its interest expense, which fell from $431 million in the quarter a year ago to $317 million.

The Federal Reserve cut the benchmark Fed funds rate by 25 basis points earlier in September, and expects to make two more similar cuts over the rest of the year. That should allow Carnival more opportunities to lower its average interest rate, especially given the strength of the business. By cutting interest expense, it can grow net income even without an increase in operating profit.

3. The stock is still a good value

Carnival has been a winner since the pandemic, largely because of its execution and growth, but also because the stock offers a good value. Based on the adjusted earnings per share forecast of $2.17 for this year, it now trades at a forward price-to-earnings (P/E) of just 13.5.

Cruise stocks can be risky, due to their vulnerability to black swan events like the pandemic, or even economic downturns. But Carnival’s recent results give investors good reason to expect smooth sailing ahead. Demand trends look great. It’s steadily reducing its debt burden, and investments like Celebration Key should pay off over the long term.

The recent pullback looks like a great opportunity for Carnival stock.

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